摘要
家畜群体的变动是有一定规律的 ,但要准确地预测这种规律则比较困难。利用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型 ,以新疆托克逊县 1993～ 1998年的人口及各种家畜的存栏和繁殖成活数等为原始资料进行了预测分析 ,经过误差分析表明 ,本次预测的准确性是较高的 。
The fluctuation of livestock group has certain regular pattern.But accurately forecast was very difficult.The paper had taken advantage of GM(1,1) Grey Forecasting Models,source data were Tuokexun country's population,the amount of livestock on hand and progenitive living number from 1993 to 1998,to forecast this country the fluctuation of livestock group,Error analysis showed, this forecast's accuracy is very high.This analysis provided a feasible method to forecast livestock group progress.
出处
《石河子大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2001年第3期234-237,共4页
Journal of Shihezi University(Natural Science)
