摘要
本文根据灰色系统理论，建立了京津唐电网最大贞荷及峰谷差的灰色预测动态模型，经检验，模型的精度为一级；并计算出了直到２０００年的最大负荷及峰谷差的预测值。该方法具有预测精度高、计算速度快及使用方便等优点，不失为一种实用的负荷预测方法。
n this peper,by using the grey system theory,we set up the grey forecast dynamic state model of maximum load and Peak-valley difference ofBeijing, tianjin and Tangshanwire netting.Through testing,the precision of the model is good.The forecast value of maximum load and Peak- valley.difference is calculated until 2000.This method has advantages with high forecast precision,fast calculation speed and easy aPPlication.This is a practical forecasting load method.
出处
《系统工程理论方法应用》
1994年第1期57-60,共4页
Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications
