摘要
在简要回顾国内外学者对产业结构演化规律研究成果的基础上 ,提出 :跳出“就结构论结构“的误区 ,从研究产业系统演化规律入手 ,在更深层次上探寻产业结构演化的内在机制 .运用自组织理论的哈肯模型 ,建立起产业系统演化方程 ,通过以郑州为例的实证分析 ,定量地论证了反映创新和科技进步的劳动生产率是产业系统演化的序参量 ,对方程中的 4个参数作了灵敏度排序 ,针对郑州实际作模拟运算 ,给出了 9个方案 ,分析不同方案的实施条件 。
Based on briefly reviewing the domestic and abroad research achievements of the evolution law of industrial structure, the paper put forward that it was necessary for further exploring the interior evolution mechanism of industrial structure to jump out the error region of “discussing the structure for the structure” based on the study of evolution law of the industrial structure. Evolution equation for industrial system was established relying on Haken model of the self organization theory. Through a positive analysis to Zhengzhou City,it was quantitatively demonstrated that the labor productivity reflecting innovation and technical progress is the ordering variable of describing industrial system evolution. And an order for the sensitivity of 4 parameters in the equation was given. According to Zhengzhou City reality,9 schemes were designed. Based on the stimulating operation and the analysis of each scheme condition for executing, some effective policy suggestions were given.
出处
《管理科学学报》
CSSCI
2001年第3期73-78,共6页
Journal of Management Sciences in China
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目 (796 70 0 2 9)
