摘要
通过对当前存在的各种预测模型分析 ,找出其优点与不足 ,利用统计方法建立了铁路客运前景预测模型。该模型从影响铁路客运量的因素分析入手 ,选取了与客运量密切相关的指标进行预测 ,得出较精确的定量预测结果 ,以便于决策者使用。
This article evaluates the advantages and disadvantages of current estimation models and set up a specific estimation model for railway passenger volume. Based on the analysis of main factors that influence passenger volume, this model selects the indexes that are closely related to passenger volume and obtains an accurate estimation result for reference of decision makers.
出处
《铁道运输与经济》
北大核心
2001年第3期39-41,共3页
Railway Transport and Economy
