摘要
表达为概率分布的专家意见的综合是许多决策过程的基本问题 ,也是在贝叶斯概率框架内难以处理的问题 .本文基于 Depster-Shafer证据理论研究了这类问题的一种处理方法 .首先提出了一个特别的证据推理模型及相应的推理算法 。
The combination of expert opinions in the form of probability distributions is a foundamental problem in many decision processes, but difficult to tackle within the framework of Bayesian probability theory. This paper presents a method for the problem based on dempster\|shafer theory of evidence. Firstly a specific evidence reasoning model and an algorithm for it are presented, and then an approach for modeling and solving the expert opinions combination using above model is decribed.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第4期43-48,共6页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
