摘要
经济波动研究是当前我国数量经济学者研究的一项核心课题,本文建立了有一定实用价值的经济发展平稳性预测模型和社会总产值增长率动态模型,分析了经济波动客观规律,并对波动周期进行估计.该研究成果为中国特色宏观经济理论研究提供了理论依据.
Economic fluctuation research is a key topic which is being researched by our country's number economist. This article introduces the applicable modeling of the economic development for steadiness forecasting, and dynamic modeling of the increase rate of social total output value. It has analysied the objective rule of economic fluctuation, and also has estimated fluctuation period, this research shall provide the theory basement for macro-economics theory research with China's speciality.
出处
《华东交通大学学报》
1992年第2期124-135,共12页
Journal of East China Jiaotong University
基金
江西省科委一九九0年软科学研究资助项目
关键词
中国
经济波动
状态监测
时序法
研究
economic fluctuation
state monitoring
time series research
economic diagnosis
economic forecasting
