摘要
物流服务业是生产性服务业重要的组成部分,物流服务业区域集聚是现代物流服务业发展水平提高的一种表现,有利于降低社会物流总成本,促进区域经济发展。文章利用2001~2012年我国大陆31个省域面板数据,采用动态面板数据模型对物流服务业集聚度对区域经济增长的动态效应进行估计和检验发现,在考虑相关控制变量基础上,物流服务业集聚水平对我国及东中西部三个区域经济增长的即期效应均为负,而我国东中西部区域分别在其集聚水平的1阶、2阶、3阶滞后期对区域经济增长产生了显著的正效应。这表明,我国不同区域物流服务业集聚水平对区域经济增长的效应不仅具有空间差异,而且存在动态的时间滞后效应,并且随着服务经济的深入以及物流服务专业化的进一步发展,物流服务业集聚水平将直接影响区域经济增长。为更好地促进区域经济增长,实现区域经济与物流服务业集聚协同发展,应充分重视物流服务业规模化、专业化与区域经济发展的协调性,合理规划并建立区域物流服务节点,保证其有效运营和管理;重视区域经济发展中对各项控制变量的依赖,特别是加大人力资本投资、研发投入、信息基础设施建设。
Logistic service industry is the important components of productive service industry; the regional agglomeration of logistic service industry is the demonstration of the improvement of modern logistics service industry development; the agglomeration will be beneficial to the reduction of overall social logistic cost and the promotion of regional economic development. The author uses the panel data of 31 provinces of China in 2000-2012, and tests the dynamic effects of logistics service industry agglomeration on regional economic growth in China. The empirical results show that: under the control variables, the immediate effects of agglomeration degree on the eastern, central and western regions of China are all negative;but the first-order lag, second-order lag and third-order lag of logistics service industry agglomeration in eastern, central and western regions have significant positive effects. It shows that the effects of logistics industry agglomeration on regional economic growth are not only spatially different, but there is also a time lag dynamics in different regions of China. So, to better promote the regional economic growth and realize the coordinate development of regional economy and agglomeration of logistics service industry, we should pay more attention to the coordination between the scaled and special development of logistic service industry and regional economic development, rationally plan and build regional logistic service nodes and guarantee the effective operation and management;we should also pay more attention to the dependence on controlled variables in the development of regional economy, and increase investment in HR, R&D, and the construction of information infrastructure.
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第7期39-46,共8页
China Business and Market
基金
国家社会科学规划项目"我国物流业对制造业外溢效应的检验分析研究"(项目编号:12BJY069)
中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目"区域物流服务能力测度研究"(项目编号:12SKGC-QG02)的部分研究成果
关键词
物流服务业集聚
经济增长
动态效应
动态面板数据模型
系统GMM估计
logistics service industry agglomeration
economic growth
dynamic effects
dynamic panel data model
system general moment method (GMM)