摘要
本文基于2004—2010年全国固定调查点山西、河南、山东、江苏和浙江的面板数据,研究了劳动力转移对中国农业生产的影响。研究发现:首先,各类型劳动力在农业生产中的效率存在显著差异,男性、女性、老人和儿童的效率之比为1.00∶0.76∶0.71∶0.57;其次,男性和壮年女性的转移不仅会使提高农户退出农业的概率,增大农户家庭耕地流出率,而且会降低农业产出增长率;最后,结合传统的"剩余劳动力"理论可以推断在当前制度环境下,中国的"刘易斯拐点"已经到来。
Based on panel data constructed by Shanxi, Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces during 2004--2010, we intend to shed light on the relationship between rural labor migration and agricultural production. First of all, this article indicates that the agricultural productivity of male, female, elderly and children is different and can be ex- pressed as 1.00 ： 0.76 ： 0.71 ： 0.57. Secondly, we discover that the migration of male and female labor aged 35--45 can not only improve household＇s quit rateand increase the rate of land＇s outflow, but also decrease the agricultural growth rate. Finally, according to our find- ings, ＇Lewis turning point＇ has arrived in the current institutional environment.
出处
《经济学（季刊）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第2期1147-1170,共24页
China Economic Quarterly
基金
国家自然科学基金(71073102、71273171、71273172)
上海市浦江人才计划(12PJC067)
上海市教委科研创新项目(13ZS019)的资助
