摘要
本文构建13个东亚样本国家1990年至2011年的面板数据进行实证分析,研究发现:一是东亚地区的贸易发展和人均收入负相关,存在贸易条件恶化和贫困化增加现象;二是东亚地区产业结构调整对于东亚经济发展至关重要,可以依据新结构主义经济学的增长甄别与因势利导理论框架进行未来产业升级与调整;三是东亚地区受外部冲击影响较大,需要加强东亚区域政策协调来共同抵御外部冲击。
This paper uses panel data to research the relationship among economic growth, trade, FDI and industrial structure for 12 East Asian countries from 1990 to 2011. The analysis finds three matters： Firstly, the development of trade in East Asian area has negative influence on the per capita GDP, reflecting deteriorating terms of trade. Secondly, the industrial structure adjustment is vital to East Asian economic growth. It can be ad- justed according to growth identification and facilitation frame of new structural economics. Thirdly, external shocks have great impacts on East Asian economy so that they must improve area policy coordination to jointly re- sist the external shocks.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第3期8-13,共6页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
国家社科基金项目"中国发展模式的本质特征和独特竞争力研究"(13BGJ004)
教育部青年课题项目"经济周期测度与逆周期国际经济政策协调机制研究"(12YJC790165)基金的资助
关键词
东亚
经济增长
产业结构
外部冲击
East Asia, Economic Growth, Industrial Structure, External Shocks
