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有关概率P(X<Y<Z)的估计问题

An estimate of P(X<Y<Z)
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摘要 给定随机变量X,Y,Z,针对它们之间可能出现的大小关系X<Y<Z,研究该情形发生概率的估计问题,即有关P(X<Y<Z)的估计.作了两方面工作:(1)当X,Y,Z分布已知时,推导出P(X<Y<Z)的表达式,利用极大似然估计以及渐近分布的性质,得到P(X<Y<Z)的极大似然估计和区间估计;(2)当X,Y,Z分布未知时,利用经验似然比以及非参数Wilks定理,得到P(X<Y<Z)的极大经验似然估计和经验置信域. Given random variables X, Y and Z, for the probably occurred relationship among them:X〈Y〈Z , we research the estimate of its probability, i.e. the P(X〈Y〈Z). The article contains two parts: 1) when the distributions of X,Y and Z of are known, based on the proper- ties of MLE (maximum likelihood estimate) and asymptotic distribution, we deduce the expres- sion of P(X〈Y〈Z) and derive the maximum likelihood estimate and interval estimate 2)when the distributions of X,Y and Z are unknown, depends on ELR(empirical likelihood ratio) and nonparametric Wilkrs theorem, we deduce the maximum empirical likelihood estimate and empiri- cal confidence band.
作者 于洋
出处 《山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2014年第2期34-39,共6页 Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Natural Science Edition
关键词 极大似然估计 区间估计 渐近分布 经验似然比 maximum likelihood estimate interval estimate asymptotic distribution empiricallikelihood ratio
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