摘要
本文对生产总值全球排名前20位国家的城镇化率与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究。研究发现:除印度尼西亚以外,中国城镇化率对经济增长的促进作用显著低于其他国家;中国的城镇化率与经济增长之间并不存在Granger因果关系,城镇化率与经济增长更多的是由自身的滞后项所决定。由此判断,中国城镇化与经济增长之间的相互作用机制并不完善,但二者之间仍然存在着长期协整关系。在我国后续的城镇化过程中,应当更加注重两者之间的协调发展。
In this paper, the author discusses the interaction of urbanization and economic growth using top 20 countries according to GDP. The result shows that the growing of economic influenced by urbanization is significantly higher than China of all countries except Indonesia ; at the same time, the urbanization and economic growth do not ex- ist Granger Causality. The urbanization and economic growth are depended more by their own lagged terms. Base on the results, the author believes that the mechanism between urbanization and economic growth of China is not complet- ed, but there still exists co-integration. In the subsequent process of urbanization, we should pay more attention to the coordinated development between urbanization and economic growth.
出处
《区域金融研究》
2014年第2期78-83,共6页
Journal of Regional Financial Research
关键词
城镇化
经济增长
协整检验
相互作用
Urbanization
Economic Growth
Co-integration
Interaction
