摘要
本文对安徽省1990—2011年的区域经济和物流行业的数据进行统计分析,探究安徽省物流能力与区域经济发展之间的互动关系。通过建立数学模型,运用EVIEWS软件进行ADF检验、协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验和脉冲响应分析,研究发现安徽省物流能力和区域经济发展之间有长期的协整关系和单向的格兰杰因果关系,同时得出了两者在短期内的相互作用机制。最后提出相关政策建议,对安徽省制定物流产业和经济发展规划提供决策参考。
The paper analyzed statistical data about Anhui province from 1990 to 2011, probed into the interactive relationship between logistics capability and regional economy development. The empir- ical study shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the regional economy and regional logistics capability, which applies unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test integratedly by building mathematic models and using the software of Eviews, to obtain the interaction mechanism between the regional economy and regional logistics capability in a short period at the same time. The paper puts forward some suggestions which have certain reference value in developing logis- tics industry and economic growth about Anhui based on the Analysis conclusion.
出处
《重庆理工大学学报（社会科学）》
CAS
2014年第2期37-41,共5页
Journal of Chongqing University of Technology（Social Science）
基金
安徽省级科研机构委托专项一般项目(2012WLGH0D)
中国物流学会项目(2012CSLKT107)
