摘要
本文从全要素生产率的角度研究了我国保险产业发展与宏观经济的关系,基于1986年-2011年的数据,实证研究了保险产业对我国经济增长的贡献率。实证结果显示:(1)保险业的发展要快于同期的GDP增长率和全要素增长率;(2)保险业对于生产率和经济增长的长期提升的作用不显著;(3)全要素生产率对保险业提升有明显的作用。
From the point of view of Total Factor Productivity( TFP),this paper studies the relationship between the development of insurance industry and macroeconomic growth in China. We use the data from1986 to 2011 to empirically check the contribution rate of insurance industry to Chinese economic growth. The empirical results show:(1) the development of insurance industry is faster than the growth rate of GDP and total factor productivity in the same period;(2) the role played by insurance industry in upgrading productivity and economic growth in the long run is not significant;(3) Total Factor Productivity can significantly promote the insurance industry.
出处
《当代经济科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第2期77-84,127,共8页
Modern Economic Science
基金
山东省社科规划项目的资助(09BJGJ06)
关键词
保险产业
全要素生产率
VAR分析
格兰杰因果检验
Insurance Industry
Total Factor Productivity
VAR Analysis
Granger Test of Causality
