摘要
采用系统动力学分析了二手房租赁与商品房市场的因果反馈机制。以厦门市2000—2010年的房地产市场交易数据为依据,建立了包含二手房租赁交易的厦门市房地产市场系统动力学模型,预测了厦门市房地产市场的发展趋势,通过改变住房租赁市场中个人所得税、房产税等调控政策因素,模拟了它们对厦门市商品房市场的影响程度,提出了厦门市商品房市场可持续发展的建议与措施。
System Dynamics （SD） was adopted to analyze the interactive mechanism between the second - hand rental hous- ing market and real estate market. Collecting the historical data of the real market from 2000 to 2010 in Xiamen, the system dy- namics model of real estate market which including the second - hand rental housing transactions was set up. The trends of the re- al estate market in Xiamen was also predicted; changing the parameters of the personal income tax, property tax and other sensi- tive policy factors in the second - hand housing rental market subsystem, the sensitiveness to the real estate market in Xiamen was simulated; accordingly the regulatory and recommendations of the real estate market in Xiamen were proposed.
出处
《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》
CAS
2014年第1期140-144,共5页
Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering
基金
厦门市科技计划基金资助项目(3502Z20125026)
华侨大学高层次人才引进基金资助项目(09BS623)
关键词
住房租赁市场
商品房市场
系统动力学
影响机理
调控政策
rental market
real estate market
system dynamics
influence mechanism
macro -control policy
