摘要
建立回归模型将铁路货运量折算为客运量,用客运通量表示铁路运输量,使用自然对数进行预测和分析,结果表明:铁路运输量促进社会经济的增长;随着社会经济和铁路运输的发展,铁路运输对社会经济的拉动作用越来越弱。指出我国现阶段应大力促进铁路运输发展。
In this paper, we built a regression model that converted the railway freight transportation volume into passenger transportation volume, used the passenger transportation volume to represent railway transportation volume and used the natural logarithm for its forecasting and analysis. Through the analysis, we reached some useful conclusions and pointed out that we should forcefully promote the development of railway transportation for the current stage.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2013年第12期280-282,共3页
Logistics Technology
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金"基于日本模式的我国大城市圈铁路建设与区域开发路径创新研究"(11YJA790136)
关键词
铁路运输
弹性系数
经济发展
韩国
railway transportation
flexible coefficient
economic development
South Korea