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我国城乡居民消费对经济增长影响的实证分析 被引量:5

On Effect of China Resident's Consumption on Economic Growth
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摘要 进入21世纪以来,相对于投资,消费对我国经济增长的拉动作用较小,如何提高消费以促进我国经济持续健康发展是转型期我国社会经济改革的重要问题。基于改革开放以来我国居民消费演变的基本特征,建立了我国城镇和农村居民消费对我国经济增长影响的误差修正模型。经验分析结果显示,城乡居民消费对我国经济增长有正向拉动作用,城镇居民消费对经济增长的拉动作用相对较大。由于居民消费率持续偏低,要提高居民消费对我国经济增长的拉动作用,必须建立提振我国居民消费的长效机制。 In recent years, the role of China resident' s consumption is less significant than investment for promoting China' s economic growth. For social and economic reforms, it is important how to boost the consumption to maintain sustainable and healthy development of China' s economy during transformation period. In this article, the characteristics are induced in respect of the evolution of China resident' s consumption since the reform and opening up. Error correction model is established on the effect of Chinese urban and rural resident' s consumption on Chinese economic growth. Empirical analysis shows,urban and rural resident' s consumption both play the active parts in promoting China' s economic growth, while urban resident' s consumption has the comparatively more significant effect on the economic growth. As the resident' s consumption rate is at the low level for several years, it is essential to establish long - term mechanism to boost the resident' s consumption with the purpose of enhancing effect of resident's consumption on the China' s economic growth.
出处 《哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)》 CSSCI 2013年第6期41-47,共7页 Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
基金 国家社会科学基金重大项目(09&ZD040)
关键词 城乡居民消费 经济增长 居民消费率 消费倾向 误差修正模型 urban and rural resident' s consumption economic growth resident ' s consumption rate consumption trend error correction model
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