摘要
本文利用我国各省市从业人口规模、投资规模和GDP的相关数据,分析劳动力资源在全国的分布变动状况和金融危机对劳动力分布的影响。通过边际产出弹性理论构建劳动力最优投入模型,对我国各省市相对剩余劳动力数量进行估算,并分析区域内部各种因素对劳动力相对剩余量的影响。研究得出:我国还不存在劳动力资源短缺;东部地区劳动力资源总量配置接近最优,面临产业升级的压力;中西部地区仍存在较大规模的剩余劳动力;西部地区将取代中部地区成为劳动力资源剩余量最大的地区。虽然区域之间的经济差距有所扩大,但是区域之间的产业结构和资本分布差距在缩小。
This thesis analyzes the change of labor resources distribution in the whole country and the effect of financial crisis on the labor force by use of employment population size, investment scale and the rele- vant data of GDP scale from different provinces in China. The optimal investment model of labor force is built according to the Marginal Product Elasticity Theory to estimate the quantity of surplus labor force in provinces and cities in China. It also analyzes the ing to Capital-Labor Force Flow Model of Thomas effect of investment on the labor force migration accord- B. The study shows that there is no shortage of labor re- sources in our country; the labor resources distribution in eastern regions is close to the optimization; the large-scale surplus labor force still exist in central and western regions; western regions will become the re- gions with the largest number of surplus labor resources instead of central regions.
出处
《人口学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第1期78-88,共11页
Population Journal
基金
国家社科基金项目:人口老龄化对储蓄
消费和社会保障的影响研究(11BJY042)
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目:促进社会融合提升城市化质量的目标与路径研究(11JJDZH001)
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目:预防和治理"城市病"研究(11JZD028)
关键词
劳动力
分布
相对规模
投资
区域差距
labor resources, distribution, optical scale, investment, regional gap
