摘要
首次将GM(1,1)模型用于预测大开间图书馆的书本流量.详细阐述了GM(1,1)模型的建立,及其对大开间图书馆借阅流量的预测.预测结果与真实情况具有良好的一致性,可信度较高.这一工作将对大开间图书馆的借阅量评估起到良好的指导作用,同时也是图书馆设计以及其馆藏量评估的重要参照.
This paper firstly adopted GM （1, 1） model to forecast the book circulation rate of a big-width-library by its previous circulation records. The establishment of GM （1, 1） model is explained clearly and its application example for forecasting the book circulation rate of a big-width-library is described in detail. The forecast result turns out to be objective and accurate. This work is useful to estimating the borrowing of this big-width-library and provides an important reference for library collection and design.
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第23期80-84,共5页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
山东省社科规划项目资助(10DTQJ01)
