摘要
以1997—2011年河北省实际统计数据为来源,分析河北农民非农收入的现状及变动趋势。采用主成分回归分析法,建立河北农民非农收入的回归模型。回归结果表明:城市化水平、非农产业总产值比重和从事非农产业农村劳动力人数比重是河北农民非农收入的积极影响因素,人均耕地面积和劳动力负担系数是河北农民非农收入的消极影响因素,并在其后对以上各影响因素进行了具体分析,最后总结提出了促进河北农民非农收入增加的政策建议。
Based on the statistics data of Hebei Province from 1997 to 2011, analysis of the status quo and development trends on Hebei farmers＇non-agricultural income is conducted using the principal components regression model. The regression analysis results show that the level of urbanization, the proportion of non-agricultural GDP and rural labor force engaged in non-agricultural industries have positive impact on non-agricultural income of farmers, meanwhile, the arable land per capita and the coefficient of labor burden on farmers have the negative impact on non-agricultural income. Through further detailed analysis of these factors, it is be found that the low level of urbanization, disability of the surplus labor transfer, and the lag development of tertiary industry are three main influencing fac- tors. Some policy recommendations are suggested to promote the increase of Hebei farmers＇non-agri- cultural income, such as to speed up the process of urbanization, to develop the tertiary industry and improve the quality of famers.
出处
《石家庄铁道大学学报（社会科学版）》
2013年第4期24-28,共5页
Journal of Shijiazhuang Tiedao University（Social Science Edition）
关键词
农民收入
非农收入
影响因素
主成分回归分析
farmer ； s income
non-agricultural income
influencing factors
principal componentsregression analysis
