摘要
通过对京津冀地区历年统计年鉴的数据进行分析,从总体上看,1986年到2010年间该区域产业结构和就业结构都不断优化。分地区看,河北省产业结构升级速度最慢,就业结构也较为滞后。通过协整检验、格兰杰检验、VEC误差修正模型进一步对河北省的两类结构进行分析,发现河北省第一产业和第三产业的两结构存在长期协整关系,并且其产业结构的调整是就业结构调整的格兰杰原因。
This paper analyzes data from statistical yearbooks of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. From the overall, the industry structure and employment structure are both constantly optimized in this region from 1986 to 2010. Howev- er, each area is different, especially in Hebei province, the upgrading speed of industry structure is the slowest and employment structure is lagging. In order to analyze the relationship of them deeply, the paper uses cointegration test, Granger test, and VEC error correction model to prove that there is a long term stable relationship of the in- dustry structure and the employment structure of Hebei province, and the adjustment of industry structure is the Granger reason of modification of employment structure.
出处
《石家庄经济学院学报》
2013年第5期40-45,共6页
Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics
关键词
京津冀
产业结构
就业结构
产业结构偏离度
协整
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
industrial structure
employment structure
deviation
cointegration
