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351例老年食管鳞癌放射治疗长期生存多因素分析 被引量:6

Multivariate analysis on long-term survival for 351 elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma by radiotherapy
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摘要 目的:分析影响老年食管癌患者放射治疗长期生存的多种因素。方法:回顾性分析351例进行放射治疗的老年食管鳞癌患者的生存情况,并采用Kaplan-Meier法计算生存率,Log-rank法检验单因素分析及Cox回归模型进行多因素分析。结果:截止至2013-01-10,总随访率90.9%,1、3和5年总生存率分别为44.2%(155/351)、13.96%(49/351)和9.69%(34/351)。单因素分析结果显示,1、3和5年生存率在T分期、N分期、M分期和临床分期等方面差异有统计学意义,而化疗在3和5年生存率中差异有统计学意义。多因素预后分析结果示,N分期、M分期和放疗剂量为影响1年生存率的独立因素,临床分期为影响3和5年生存率的独立因素。1年生存率中,放疗剂量2组(56.9%)明显优于1组(41.3%)和3组(35.3%),差异有统计学意义,χ2=20.678,P<0.001;3年生存率中,3组(5.88%)与1组(17.52%)和2组(17.46%)比较,差异有统计学意义,χ2=11.503,P=0.009。随访结束共死亡317例,其中肿瘤因素258例(81.4%),放疗并发症33例(10.4%),心脑血管疾病14例(4.42%),其他12例(3.79%)。结论:T、N、M、临床分期、放疗剂量及是否化疗为影响老年食管癌患者长期生存率的主要因素,配合全身化疗能够延长生存期,而超过60Gy的放疗剂量对于老年食管鳞癌患者无益。 OBJECTIVE: To analyze the factors to influence the 1-,3-,S-year survival rate of elderly patients with e sophageal carcinoma. METHODS: The long-term survival of 351 elderly patients with esophageal carcinoma treated by ra diotherapy was analyzed retrospectively,and also calculated by Kaplan-Meier method. Logrank method was used for univa riate analysis and Cox regression model was used for multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Till Jan. 10,2013, the overall fol low-up rate was 90.9%,and the 1-year,3-year and S-year overall survival rates were 44.2%,13.96% and 9.69% respec tively. There were significant differences on the prognosis of T stage, N stage, M stage, clinical stage. The results of multi variate prognosis analysis showed that N stage, M stage, and radiotherapy dose were independent factors in the 1-year sur vival rate;clinical stage were independent factors in the 3-year and S-year survival rate. In the analysis of the dose of 60 Gy in the 1 year survival rate was better significantly than more than 60 Gy and equal or more than 50 Gy but less than that of 60 Gy(x2= 20,678 ,P〈0. 001). In the 3-year survival rate, the differences were statistical significance among the dose of equal or more than that of 50 Gy but less than that of 60 Gy,of more than that of 60 Gy and of equal that of 60 Gy (x2 = 11. 503, P=0. 009). 317 patients died at the end of the follow-up, 258 (81.4 % ) patients died from to primary tumor, 33( 10. 4%) patients died from radiotherapy complications; 14 (4. 42%) patients died from underlying disease, and 12 (3.79%0) patients died to unknown reasons and unexpected deaths. CONCLUSINOS= T-staging, N-staging, M-staging, clinical staging,radiotherapy dose and chemotherapy are important factors to influence long-term survival rate. The addi tion of concurrent radiochemotherapy can improve long-term survival. More than 60 Gy dose of the radiation therapy for the elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients is useless.
出处 《中华肿瘤防治杂志》 CAS 北大核心 2013年第20期1596-1599,共4页 Chinese Journal of Cancer Prevention and Treatment
关键词 老年食管鳞癌 放射治疗 长期生存 多因素分析 回顾性分析 elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma radiotherapy long-term survival multivariate survival analy-sis retrospe ctive analysis
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