摘要
目的 :预测未来天津市各层次、各专业卫生人力资源需求状况为教育机构招生决策提供科学依据。方法 :运用组合预测、多元回归、灰色系统等理论与方法 ,构造模型体系。结果 :总量上供大于求 ,不同层次、不同专业供求不平衡。结论 :临床医学、护理、生物医学工程等本科层次应扩大招生。
Objective: Forecast Tianjin's future demand for hygiene manpower resources in different levels and fields so as to provide scientific basis for the recruit of educational institution. Methods: The theories and approaches of combination forecast, multiple regression, grey system and so on been applied to build the model system. Results: Generally speaking, the demand for hygiene manpower resources are in short supply; the supply and demand for such resources in different levels and fields are out of balance. Conclusion: The recruit of undergraduate students in the departments of clinical medicine, nursing and biomedicine should be expanded.
出处
《天津医科大学学报》
2000年第3期284-288,共5页
Journal of Tianjin Medical University
基金
天津市面向21世纪教改研究项目
关键词
组合预测
卫生人力资源
灰色系统
combination forecast
hygiene manpower resources
grey system
