摘要
[Objective] The rasearch aimed to grasp the spatial and temporal distribution charactedstics of extreme precipitation in Jiangsu Prov- ince. [Methodl Threshold was determined by detrended fluctuation analysis （DFA） based on the data of daily precipitation over Jiangsu Province from 1961 to 2010, and the oscillation pedod and mutation were detected by the method of Morlet wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall test respec- tively. [ Result~ The annual frequency of extreme precipitation in Jiangsu Province demonstrated oscillation characteristics with 8 -10 a, and the mutation mainly happened in 2006, In addition, the oscillation period of extreme precipitation during summer was 8 -10 a, and its mutation hap- pened in 1998. The oscillation periods of extreme precipitation, however, during autumn were 2 -3 and 5 -7 a. Extreme precipitation and total rain- fall had better consistency. They both presented the characteristics of more in the south and less in the north, and big-small-value zone was concentrated. [ Conclusion] The research could provide technical support for making defense policy of the related disaster for relevant departments.
[Objective] The rasearch aimed to grasp the spatial and temporal distribution charactedstics of extreme precipitation in Jiangsu Prov- ince. [Methodl Threshold was determined by detrended fluctuation analysis （DFA） based on the data of daily precipitation over Jiangsu Province from 1961 to 2010, and the oscillation pedod and mutation were detected by the method of Morlet wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall test respec- tively. [ Result~ The annual frequency of extreme precipitation in Jiangsu Province demonstrated oscillation characteristics with 8 -10 a, and the mutation mainly happened in 2006, In addition, the oscillation period of extreme precipitation during summer was 8 -10 a, and its mutation hap- pened in 1998. The oscillation periods of extreme precipitation, however, during autumn were 2 -3 and 5 -7 a. Extreme precipitation and total rain- fall had better consistency. They both presented the characteristics of more in the south and less in the north, and big-small-value zone was concentrated. [ Conclusion] The research could provide technical support for making defense policy of the related disaster for relevant departments.
基金
Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(BK2009412)
Special Project of Science Research in Public WelfareSector(Meteorology),China(GYHY200906021)
Construction Project of Advantage Discipline in University of Jiangsu,China
