摘要
本文从"中等收入陷阱"的"成因"分析切入,在丹尼森理论的基础上,将"TFPG三因素"与一国在现代经济增长中的阶段性动力相联系。用TFPG框架梳理了我国改革开放以来不同时期的经济增长动力,认为当前我国经济增长放缓是市场化改革停滞的后果,通过深化市场化改革实现生产率的提高,是我国跨越"中等收入陷阱"的必要路径。
This paper first discusses the cause of middle-income trap,then tries to connect the "three elements of TFPG" with phased drivers of modern economic growth based on Denison's theory.Using the analytical framework of TFPG and evidences from different countries,this paper argues that during the early stage of modern economic growth,scale economy of the specialization of labor and industrial agglomeration promotes TFP to grow;during the middle-income stage,the market-oriented improvement of efficiency of resources disposition leads the growth of TFP;during the high-income stage,the technical progress drives the growth of TFP.This paper traces China's phased economic growth drivers with the framework of TFPG,and finally concludes that the slow-down of China's economic growth roots in the stagnation of marketization reform.To escape the middle-income trap,China should deepen the market oriented reform of economic system.
出处
《江苏社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第2期93-102,共10页
Jiangsu Social Sciences
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(12YJA790185)资助