摘要
财富结构与地区发展密不可分。通过合理调整财富结构,来转变经济发展方式,是实现可持续发展的备选路径之一。本文沿用了World Bank的方法核算了1997-2009年中国28个省区的财富及其组成结构,并在此基础上,从经济增长和环境污染等两方面实证分析了财富结构对可持续发展的影响。结果表明,无形资本比例最高,生产资本比例次之,自然资本比例最少。生产资本比例正在上升,其区域差异在缩小;而自然资本与无形资本比例在下降,区域差异在扩大。生产资本比例的提高,虽然能显著提高当期的经济增长,但其长期效应较弱,且增加了排污,恶化了环境。相比于生产资本和自然资本,无形资本比例的提高,虽对经济增长的短期效应不如生产资本,但长期效应更大,且能有效地降低排污,从而更具可持续发展性。要实现可持续发展,地方政府应促进财富结构的优化调整,避免短视行为,更加重视无形资本建设。
Wealth structure is closely related to regional development. It is one of the paths for sustainable development to transform economic development mode through reasonable adjustments to wealth structure. Using the method of World Bank, this paper calculated the wealth and its structure of 28 provinces and districts from 1997 to 2009 in China. On this basis, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the influence of wealth structure to sustainable development from the perspectives of economic growth and environmental pollution. The result shows that the ratio of invisible capital is the highest, followed by the ratio of produced capital and the ratio of natural capital is the least. The ratio of produced capital is rising, while its regional disparity is narrowing. On the contrary, the ratios of natural capital and invisible capital are falling and their regional disparities become larger. The rise of produced capital ratio will promote the current economy but is of little effect in the long run. Besides, the pollution is much heavier which can deteriorate the environment. Compared to produced capital and natural capital, the rise of invisible capital ratio has less short-term effect on economic growth than produced capital, but can produce better long-term promotion to the economic growth and at the same time reduce pollution. So rising invisible capital ratio is more sustainable. In order to achieve sustainable development, the local governments should enhance the adjustments to wealth structure, avoid short-sighted behaviors and put more emphasis on the building of invisible canital
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第7期110-115,共6页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目"我国地方政府的行为
绩效及其激励机制研究"(编号:10wkpy19)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"我国教育融资体制改革对人力资本积累的影响机制研究"(编号:09YJC790264)
广东省软科学研究项目"科技进步对广东省经济-环境协调性的影响机制研究"(编号:2011B070400015)
广东外语外贸大学校级青年项目"广东省产业结构调整与节能减排的关系研究"(编号:12Q01)
关键词
财富结构
生产资本
自然资本
无形资本
可持续发展
wealth structure
produced capital
natural capital
intangible capital
sustainable development
