摘要
基于对2002年贫困线调整前后贫困指标变化的分析,找寻中国农村贫困线调整的契机,并且根据长期性贫困的变化,分析贫困线调整前后贫困模式的变化,确定边缘化贫困群体。研究发现,当某贫困线的贫困率低于5%、贫困人口规模在3500万左右时,存在提高贫困线的契机。新贫困线下的贫困率可以达到13%、贫困人口规模可以达到10000万。同时,提高贫困线之后,可以根据贫困线调整前的数据计算长期性贫困,将处于长期性贫困的人口视为边缘化贫困,针对边缘化贫困实施以社会救助为主的扶贫政策,提高政策针对性。
this paper analyzes changes on poverty index before and after poverty line change in 2002, in order to find the moment of poverty line change in rural China. Furthermore, it analyzes the changes on poverty type bases on chronic poverty, and identifies the marginalized poor. It finds the moment of increasing poverty line is showed when headcount is less than 5%, and the number of the poor is about 35 million. The headcount of new poverty line would reach 13%, and the number of the poor would be 100 million. Meanwhile, chronic poverty can be computed on the data before poverty line change, and those who are trapped in chronic poverty are considered as the marginalized poor. It should be the main poverty alleviation policy for the marginalized poor that social aids, in order to enhance effectiveness of policy.
出处
《贵州财经大学学报》
北大核心
2013年第4期98-105,共8页
Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics
关键词
贫困线
贫困指标
长期性贫困
边缘化贫困
扶贫政策
农村
poverty line
chronic poverty
the marginalized poor
poverty alleviation policy
country
