摘要
CPI上扬与农产品价格上涨有着密不可分的关系,政府和相关部门也在利用农产品价格上涨的契机推动粮食、生猪等农产品产业结构调整,以确保农民增收。结合经济学原理和相关学者的研究对农产品价格和CPI的关系问题进行了经验分析,并选定时间序列数据,构建合适的VAR模型对农产品生产价格和CPI的关系进行实证分析,运用格兰杰因果检验来完善检验的结果,对农产品价格和CPI的关系进行定性和定量的分析,并提出相应的对策建议。
This article researches the relationship between China＇s agricultural prices and CPI. First, this article reviews the research about this subject, then we do empirical analysis on the relationship between agricultural prices and CPI based on the principles of economics and former research. Second, we select the time series data to build a suitable VAR model to analyse the relationship between agricultural producer prices and CPI, and then apply Granger causality test to improve test results. With the help of experience and empirical analysis, we do qualitative and quantitative analysis on the relationship between agricultural prices and CPI. At last, we give some recommendations on the policies.
出处
《广东农业科学》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第9期205-208,共4页
Guangdong Agricultural Sciences
基金
天津市哲学社会科学基金(TJYY12107)
