摘要
文章基于金融发展与经济增长关系方面,国外实证研究中提出的不发达国家服从"供给主导说",即金融发展促进经济增长的结论,观察我国实际经济生活中的状况,似乎并不满足这一结果。针对这个疑问,在简要介绍国内外相关文献以后,选择FIR和GDP两个指标,利用格兰杰因果检验方法进行统计检验,认为两者主要是双向因果关系,而现阶段是经济增长引致金融发展,并对结论进行总结和分析并给出政策建议。
This paper is based on the foreign empirical research which explained the relationship between financial development andeconomic growth.I[t puts forward that in less developed countries they obeyed the ＂supply leading thoery＂, namely the financial development promotes the economic growth . But in real economic life in our country it does not seem to meet the result.Aimed at this question, after a brief introduction to the related literature at home and abroad,then selects two indicators which arethe FIR and the GDP , statistical tests take use of the Granger causality test. The results indicate that our country is a two-way causal relationship, and at this stage the performance of our country is that economic growth leads to financial development. Finally carries on the summary and the analysis of the obtained conclusion and gives some policy recommendations.
出处
《铜陵学院学报》
2013年第2期27-29,100,共4页
Journal of Tongling University
关键词
金融发展
经济增长
格兰杰检验
financial development
economic growth
Granger test
