摘要
本文以生命周期假说为理论基础,以居民消费率作为居民消费行为评价指标,建立分析人口年龄结构与居民消费率关系的计量模型,对1994—2011年的甘肃省居民消费行为进行了实证研究。结果发现,甘肃省儿童抚养系数和老年抚养系数对居民消费具有负影响,即儿童抚养系数和老年抚养系数的提高均降低居民消费率,因此甘肃省人口年龄结构变化是目前居民消费率过低的原因。
Based on the Life Cycle Hypothesis,this paper inwoduces an empirical investigation on the consumption behavior of Gansu residents from 1994 to 2011 through employing the consumption rate of residents as the index of consumption behavior, establishing and analyzing a measurement model which demonstrates the correlation between population age structure and con- sumption rate of residents. The results indicate that the children dependency ratio and the aged dependency ratio have negative impact on residents consumption,that is,the increase of these two ratios will definitely decrease the consumption rate of resi- dents. Therefore ,the change of population age structure in Gansu province is the cause of the low consumption rate of residents.
出处
《西北人口》
CSSCI
2013年第3期63-66,共4页
Northwest Population Journal
基金
内蒙古科技大学创新基金项目(2011NCW001)
关键词
人口年龄结构
抚养系数
居民消费
population age structure in Gansu province
Dependency Ratio
consumption of residents
