摘要
选取浙江省1978年～2010年的人均进口额和人均消费支出等人均数据,采用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验及回归分析等计量方法,探讨浙江省进口贸易与城镇居民消费增长关系变动的研究,得出如下结论:进口贸易是浙江省消费支出的格兰杰原因,构成了单向的格兰杰因果关系,进一步说明了进口贸易对消费具有刺激作用。反之,消费支出也是进口贸易的格兰杰原因,从而也可以看出,消费支出的增加也是促进进口贸易的一个重要因素。
Using the 1978--2010 data of per capita import and per capita consumption expenditure and through unit root test, cointegration test, Granger test and regression analysis, this paper studies the relation of import trade and urban household consumption growth in Zhejiang. It concludes that import trade is the Granger cause of urban household consumption expenditure, forming a unidirectional Granger causality. It further proves that import trade can stimulate urban household consumption. On the other hand, the urban household consumption is also the Granger cause of import trade and the urban household consumption growth is a very important factor for promoting import trade.
出处
《浙江树人大学学报》
2013年第2期63-66,共4页
Journal of Zhejiang Shuren University
基金
浙江省哲学社会科学扶持型研究基地"浙江省现代服务业研究中心"成果
关键词
区域经济
浙江省
进口贸易
居民消费增长
regional economy
Zhejiang province
import trade
urban household consumption growth
