摘要
本文在金融发展与贫困减缓理论分析基础上,基于1978-2010年中国西部12省(市、自治区)的面板数据,从金融发展的规模、结构和效率三个方面,对金融减贫的门槛效应进行实证检验。结果表明:金融发展对贫困减缓表现出明显的门槛特征,当人均收入处于低水平均衡时,金融发展对贫困减缓具有隐性累积效应;当人均收入跳越"贫困陷阱"时,金融发展对贫困减缓具有显性加速效应;当人均收入处于高水平均衡时,金融发展对贫困减缓具有隐性减速效应。对外贸易、城市化、公共服务、西部大开发政策的实施和经济发展水平按照影响程度从大到小对贫困减缓有显著正向影响。最后,本文从金融发展视角和非金融发展视角提出相关政策建议。
Based on the theoretical analysis,taking the panel data of the 12 provinces in Western China during the period between 1978 and 2010,this paper established the panel threshold regression model in order to test the threshold effect of the financial development on poverty alleviation.Conclusions as follows,there was a significant threshold effect between financial development and poverty alleviation.When the per capita income in the low-level equilibrium,financial development has a hidden accumulation effect on poverty alleviation;when the per capita income jump the ＂poverty trap＂,financial development has a dominant acceleration effect on poverty alleviation;when the per capita income in the high-level equilibrium,financial development has a hidden deceleration effect on poverty alleviation.In addition,the foreign trades,the urbanization,the public services,the western development and the economic development have significant impact on poverty alleviation in accordance with the degree.Finally,this paper put forward the advice of poverty alleviation from the viewing angle of the financial development and the non-financial development.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第3期32-41,共10页
China Soft Science
基金
教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(10YJC790126)资助
关键词
金融发展
贫困减缓
门槛效应
financial development
poverty alleviation
threshold effect
