摘要
在总结国内外相关文献的基础上,选取影响我国金融系统正常运行的国内和国外两大因素共12个子指标,构建了开放经济条件下我国金融风险的预警模型,并利用我国2000～2010年宏观数据进行实证检验。认为经济增长率、股市平稳性及人民币汇率是我国长期金融风险的影响因素,物价水平和股市稳定性是我国短期金融风险的重要影响因素,据此提出防范金融风险的政策建议。
Based on the summary of the relevant literature, selected a total of 12 sub - indicators affect the nor- mal operation of our financial system two factors of domestic and foreign, the opening up of the economy under the conditions of our financial risk early warning model was constructed and use the 2000 -2010 macroeconomic data to an empirical test. Steady economic growth rate, the stock market and the RMB exchange rate are the impact of Chi- na＇ s long - term financial risk factors, the price level and the stock market stability are an important factor of our short -term financial risk.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第4期48-50,共3页
On Economic Problems
关键词
金融风险
预警
人民币汇率
financial risk
early warning
RMB exchange rate
