摘要
收入差距问题已成为当今社会的热点话题,基于1995—2010年中国统计数据对收入差距和犯罪行为进行相关性分析,并建立计量经济学模型。主要方法是运用协整模型和误差修正模型探求收入差距和犯罪行为之间的长期均衡和短期波动关系,结合Granger因果加以检验,最终揭示收入差距和犯罪率之间的动态关联,并由此提出相应的政策建议。
Income gap problem has become a hot topic today, this paper is devoted to analyze the dynamic correla- tion between income gap and crime based on the Chifiese data from 1995 to 2010, and create the econometric model. By using co-integration analysis and ECM, we can find the long-term equilibrium and the short-term fluctuation relation- ships between income gap and crime. And then, we make the Granger causality test. Through the above analysis, we put forward the corresponding suggestions.
出处
《建材世界》
2013年第1期95-99,共5页
The World of Building Materials
基金
国家社科基金项目(12BJY033)
教育部人文社科规划基金项目(11YJA790113)
武汉理工大学人文社科重点(2012-IB-091)
关键词
收入差距
犯罪率
长期均衡
短期波动
income gap
crime rate
long-term equilibrium
short-term fluctuation
