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新技术商业化的风险要素及其作用机理:基于社会技术系统理论的实证研究 被引量:15

Risk factors and its roles in new technology commercialization:Empirical study based on socio-technical system theory
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摘要 风险管理对新技术商业化项目的成长具有积极的影响,但现有研究在深入考察企业新技术商业化活动面临的风险要素、风险结构及其作用机理方面还存在不足.社会技术系统理论被用来分析社会系统风险、技术系统风险与管理风险要素,及其对企业新技术商业化项目绩效的影响.应用结构方程模型进行实证研究,结果表明:1)社会子系统风险对技术子系统风险具有显著的正向影响;2)技术子系统的风险增加会使项目管理的风险增加;3)社会子系统风险对项目管理风险具有正向影响,但不显著;4)新技术商业化项目管理的风险越高,项目成长的过程绩效就越低;5)过程绩效对产品绩效具有显著正向影响. Risk management has positive effect on the growth of new technology commercialization project. However, risk factors, risk structure and their roles in new technology commercialization are little consid- ered in existing research. This paper employs socio-technical systems theory to analyze the effect of social system risk, technical system risk, and management risk on performance of new technology commercializa- tion. Then, structural equation model is utilized to conduct empirical study. The results suggest: 1) Social system risk has a significantly positive effect on technical system risk. 2) The higher technical system risk, the higher management risk of projects. 3) Social system risk has a positive effect on project management risk, but not significantly. 4) The higher management risk of new technology commercialization projects, the lower process performance of project growth. 5) Process performance has a significantly positive effect on product performance.
作者 唐方成
出处 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2013年第3期622-631,共10页 Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金 国家自然科学基金(71072028) 科技部创新方法专项课题(2010IM020800-3) 北京市自然科学基金(9112010) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2011JBM034)
关键词 新技术商业化 风险管理 社会技术系统 new technology commercialization risk management socio-technical system
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参考文献36

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二级参考文献32

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