摘要
在低碳理论研究的基础上,基于能源强度的角度,对浙江省1990年至2010年经济低碳化的发展特征进行分析。通过时间序列模型,结合能源强度的年度数据,预测浙江低碳经济未来发展的趋势。最后运用因素分析法,对浙江省能源强度的变化进行分析,得出推动浙江省能源强度下降的主要动力来自于产业能源利用效率的提高。因此继续优化产业结构,进一步提高产业能源利用效率,是保证浙江经济未来低碳化发展的关键。
Based on the research of low carbon theory and from the perspective of energy intensity, this paper analyzes the charac- teristics of low-carbon economic development in Zhejiang Province from 1990 to 2010. It predicts the development tendency of low-carbon economy in Zhejiang Province based on the time series model and annual data of energy intensity. The factor analysis method is used to analyze the changes in energy intensity and it concludes that the main driver of energy intensity reduction in Zhejiang Province came from improved energy efficiency. Therefore, the key to ensure low-carbon development of Zhejiang＇s economy is to continue with the optimization of industrial structure and further improvement of the energy efficiency.
出处
《浙江树人大学学报》
2013年第1期60-65,共6页
Journal of Zhejiang Shuren University
关键词
低碳经济
能源强度
浙江经济
low carbon
energy intensity
Zhejiang＇s economy
