摘要
基于城镇拉力视角,运用2007—2009年2291份调查问卷所建立的固定效应Probit模型及实证分析显示:城镇生活适应性、技能型收益和精神收益等非经济因素对农村劳动力转移决策有显著影响,是促进或制约农村劳动力转移的重要因素。而非经济因素对农村劳动力转移决策的作用,依赖于城镇务工收入水平、教育和年龄等交叉变量,且不同个性特征的农民工,在外出务工决策上表现出较强的异质性。研究同时发现:2008年金融风暴对我国农村劳动力转移的影响仅是一次短期波动,并没有改变我国农村劳动力转移的内在机理和长期趋势。文章的最大局限在于,受问卷设计和数据可得性的影响,没有充分考虑户籍制度、子女教育及医疗保障制度等非经济因素。该研究对于揭示"民工荒"的成因,保持农村劳动力有序、平稳、持续地向城镇转移,乃至对于农村劳动力从"候鸟式"转移到"生根式"迁移的本质性转变,都具有重要意义。
The objective of this paper is to illustrate and examine the influences of non-economic factors to rural labor migration.Based on 2291 survey samples collected from 2007 to 2009,a Fixed Effects Probit Model,finding that urban life adaptation,skill and psychic gains have a significant effect on rural labor migration in China,was conducted.The analysis,based on the rural labor migration literature,reveals that non-economic factors such as urban life adaptation,skill and psychic gains have a significant effect on rural labor migration in China,Furthermore,the influences depend on some interaction terms such as income in towns,education and age.Personality features of farmers have also a significant effect on rural labor migration.the paper also reveals that impacts of Financial Crisis in 2008 on rural labor migration is only a short-term fluctuations,there is no change in internal mechanism and long-term trends of the rural labor migration in China.The key limitation of the study is that it focuses solely on urban life adaptation,skill and psychic gains,without considering other non-economic factors such as Hukou systems,children education and medical care system etc.Another difficulty arises from the samples do not cover the whole country.The research is important to reveal the causes of the 'Labor Shortage' and maintain the rural labor force to an orderly,smooth,continuous migrate to the towns,even for the changing of rural labor force from the 'rural-urban migrant' to 'root style settle in towns'.Expanding on the previous classic rural labor migration models,this study draws on the non-economic factors approach to analyze the motivations and obstacles of rural labor migration in China.and it proposes a conceptual framework to illustrate how rural labor migration decision can be impacted by non-economic factors.
出处
《公共管理学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期91-97,142,共7页
Journal of Public Management
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71173156)
教育部人文社科基金资助项目(10YJC790032)
