摘要
经过三十多年高速发展,中国经济已进入中等收入向高收入过渡阶段。在新的发展阶段上,产生了一系列新的特点,既有实现现代化的历史机遇,又面临新的矛盾,尤其是在经济失衡方面。从总量上看,既面临巨大的通货膨胀的压力,又面临严重的经济下行的风险;从结构上看,无论是需求结构,还是供给结构,都存在深刻的矛盾。总量失衡与结构矛盾相互交织,使得宏观经济调控面临新的挑战。这不仅要求宏观经济政策的方向选择和组合方式及其政策力度需要根据经济均衡增长的要求及时变化,而且要求宏观调控方式作出根本性的调整,而宏观调控方式的变化和宏观调控的有效性,必须建立在经济发展方式转变的基础之上。推动经济发展方式的转变,根本的动力在于依靠创新驱动,在制度和技术创新的基础上,推动经济结构的升级,实现发展方式的真正转变和经济发展的历史性跨越。
China has entered the period of transition from the middle income economy to high income one after a long-term rapid development more than 30 years. The new stage creates a series of new historical opportunities and contradictions. From the view of aggregate both pressures of inflation and risks of the dropping of growth rates are faced, and from the view of structure, both demand and supply structure should be improved. The paper analyzes the new characteristics and reasons of the loss of balance in economic growth, and investigates effects of macroeconomic policies, then indicates that it is the historical requirement of changing the macro control and development mode to improve the macro controls scientifically.
出处
《学术月刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第2期70-81,共12页
Academic Monthly
关键词
经济增长
经济失衡
宏观政策
economic growth
loss of economic balance
macroeconomic policy
