摘要
数据质量评估是使用普查数据前的重要步骤,而登记人数的准确性是人口普查数据质量评估中最为重要的指标之一。文章对六普数据中低龄组人口漏报和青年人口重报状况进行了全面分析,并比较多次普查数据的生命表回推结果以及不同来源的数据分析,得出结果显示,六普数据在中老年组数据质量较高,与四普、五普数据相比,同批人人口规模呈现出高度一致性;六普数据在低龄组依然存在大量漏报,其中0岁组男孩漏报更多;在青年组人口中,六普数据16～21岁的人口规模相对于2000年普查及其他来源数据中的同批人规模出现异常增多。与五普数据及户籍统计数据相比,六普16～21岁青年组人口可能存在重报,每个年龄组重报100万人以上,且可能主要是流动人口女性重报。
Quality evaluation is an important step before using census data, in which accuracy of the number of people registered is one of the most significant and meaningful indicator. This paper systematically examines the problems of underreporting in the youngest age groups and overreporting in the age groups at 16 - 21 in China＇ s sixth national population census by comparing population data from previous censuses adjusted by life table methods and from other sources. The results show that population in the youngest ages is considerably underreported in China＇ s sixth population census： while the size of population aged 16 -21 in the sixth census is abnormally greater than that counted Jn the fifth census and that registered by the Ministry of Public Security, indicating an over - registration in the youth aged 16 -21 in the sixth census. More than one million people are estimated to be overreported respectively in each of these age groups, largely concentrating on the floating females.
出处
《人口研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期42-53,共12页
Population Research
基金
国家社科基金青年项目"第六次全国人口普查生育水平
年龄结构数据质量评估"(项目批准号:12CRK015)的阶段性成果
关键词
六普数据
人口普查
数据质量评估
低龄组人口漏报
流动人口重报
China＇s Sixth National Population Census, Evaluation of Data Quality, Underreporting in Youngest Age Groups, Overreporting in Floating Population
