中国产业转型的动力与方向:基于新结构主义的视角被引量：17

Motivation and Direction of Chinese Industrial Transformation: Based on A Post Structural Economics Perspective

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摘要在新结构主义的框架中,产业转型的终极方向由要素禀赋结构及要素相对价格所决定。基于中国的人口禀赋将由人口总量因素转身人口的区域流动和人口质量,土地禀赋将由廉价大量供给转身昂贵有限供给,以及中国技术追赶的空间仍然存在这三个基本事实,并进一步考虑中国区域纵深广阔、产业光谱连续这一特殊情况,中国产业转型将呈现出"一个国家、三个特色产业区"的分化格局,即东部进入产业服务化阶段、中部六省和西三角承接东部产业转移、西部资源带则成为中国的资源"大后方"。然而,这种"三元分化"格局并不会自动形成,只有在一个竞争性的要素市场、灵活的金融市场及弹性的劳动力市场中,素禀赋结构的不断变迁才能最终驱动中国的产业结构往这个最优方向转型,为此,我们需要启动一系列必要的结构性改革。

作者巴曙松郑军

机构地区国务院发展研究中心东北大学

出处《中央财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第12期45-52,共8页 Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

关键词人口禀赋禀赋结构技术追赶产业转型

分类号 F121.3 [经济管理—世界经济]

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