摘要
将斯坦福研究院的情景分析方法运用于文昌市城市产业网络发展的研究中,以一个综合的社会文化-经济-环境的视角来审视城市产业发展,最终描述了"通向旅游岛"、"看得到的进步""、自然的恩赐"、"蜕变"四个不同情景下文昌市产业战略选择特点,为其城市产业网络的发展提供了一个长期有效、具有较强弹性及操作性的战略选择平台,是对城市产业网络发展战略形成方法的一次有意义的探索。
The thesis discusses the application of Stanford Research Institute＇s scenario analysis to the study on urban industrial network of Wenchang City, Hainan Province. With an integrated social- cultural-economic-environmental perspective, it eventually describes the characteristics of industrial strategy in four different scenarios ： ＂leading to the tourist island＂, ＂tangible progress＂, a ＂natural gift＂ and ＂Metamorphosis＂, and constructs a strategic choice platform for industrial network evolution with longtime validity, strong flexibility and operability. Obviously it is a meaningful exploration to provide methods to the formation of development strategy for urban industrial network.
出处
《现代城市研究》
北大核心
2012年第12期53-59,共7页
Modern Urban Research
关键词
城市产业网络
情景分析
不确定性
弹性规划
urban industrial networks
scenario analysis
uncertainty
flexible planning
