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祁连山西端GL值动态演化特征与强震预测

Dynamic evolution of the GL value characteristics and earthquake prediction at western end of Qilian Mountain
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摘要 用地震活动非均匀度GL值作参数,使用1980—2011年祁连山西端M≥3.0地震资料进行GL值的空间扫描。结果表明,祁连山地区74%的M≥5地震前1—2年,在未来震中周围均有GL值异常出现,用R值对其进行评分,可以通过检验。 Taking the GL value, non-uniform seismic activity as parameter, the spatial scan of GL value on the data of earthquakes with M≥3.0 in the western end of Qilian from 1980 to 2011 was carried out. The results showed that for more than 74% earthquake with M≥5 in Qilian Mountains, GL anomalies appear around the potential epicenter before 1--2 year. This result has passed the test of R value grading. Typical example image shows the main characteristics.
出处 《地震地磁观测与研究》 2012年第5期40-43,共4页 Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research
关键词 GL值方法 M≥5地震 中短期预测 祁连山西端 GL value method, M≥5 earthquake, in short-term forecasts, the western end of Qilian
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