摘要
基于对地方政府债务扩张形成机理的不同研究视角,形成了包括"内因派"与"外因派"的不同的观点。对此,文章综合运用均值回归与分位数回归方法,进行实证研究,结果发现:"内因"即基于政绩考核机制下的固定资产投资动机是我国地方政府债务扩张的根本原因;基于宽松的货币政策及银行放货偏好等"外因",在地方债务扩张中也起着重要推动作用。因此,防范地方政府债务的扩张必须从根本上改变现有的政绩考核体制,并建立科学化解经济危机的应急机制。
The viewpoint of internal cause and external cause was formed from the different angles about the local debt expansion mechanism. Through mean regression and quantile regression method, this paper finds that： the investment motivation based on performance evaluation is the internal cause and primary reason; the economic incentive policy based on easy monetary is the external cause which also plays an important role. Therefore, the scientific officials evaluation system and response mechanism should be established in order to prevent the exnansion of the local debt.
出处
《西安财经学院学报》
CSSCI
2012年第6期5-9,共5页
Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71172192)
江西省高校人文社会科学重点研究基地研究项目(JD1025)
江西省社会科学"十二五"规划重点项目(11YJ04)
关键词
地方政府债务
地方政府
政绩考核
货币政策
the local debt
local government
officials evaluation
monetary policy
