摘要
采用截面消费数据,运用ELES计量模型,从基本需求支出、边际消费倾向和需求收入弹性等方面,对甘肃省农村居民的消费结构进行了定量分析。通过平均增速、市场潜力和市场需求三个层面对甘肃省农村居民的耐用消费品需求进行了预测分析,以比较研究甘肃省农村居民消费结构的特征和消费热点的选择。结果表明,食品、居住仍然是甘肃省农村居民追逐的消费热点;交通通讯、家庭设备、文教娱乐、医疗保健是很有潜力的消费热点;移动电话、家用电脑、摩托车、电冰箱和照相机等耐用消费品将成为新的消费热点。甘肃省农村居民的消费结构正处于从生存型向发展型和享受型过渡的阶段。
By using cross-sectional data and the ELES econometrieal model, this research made a quantitative analysis on the consumption structure of the rural residents in Gansu province by focusing on the following axeas： expenses on necessities, marginal propensity to consume, and income elasticity of demand. In light of such variables as average growth, market potential, and market demand, this research tried to make a prediction analysis on the rural residents＇ demand for durable consumer goods so that the feature of the consumption structure and the consumption hotpot will be identified. The result shows that food and houses are still the highly pursued for the rural residents in Gansu province; traffic, communication, domestic equipments, cultural and educational entertainment, and medical care will be the great potential consumption hotpot; and mobile phone, personal computers, motorcycles, refrigerators, and cameras have already been becoming the consumption hotpot. This shows that the consumption structure of the rural residents in Gansu province is transforming from the ＂development stage＂ to the ＂enjoyment stage＂.
出处
《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期139-143,共5页
Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）
基金
2011年度甘肃省社会科学规划项目"甘肃省大型企业核心竞争力调查研究"
关键词
农村居民
消费结构
ELES模型
耐用消费品
rural residents
consumption structure
ELES model
durable consumer goods
