摘要
交通的便利与否是影响旅游消费者旅游目的地选择的重要因素。该文以统计数据为基础,建立拟合函数预测成绵乐客运专线运行后节约的时间价值、增加的旅游人数和旅游收入。结果表明:成绵乐客运专线开通后从绵阳到乐山至少可以节约1.5 h,运输时间节约价值多达十几亿元甚至几十亿元;2013年乐山市旅游人数将增加到13197.5万人次;旅游收入将增加到1421.34亿元,比现在的旅游收入增长近10倍,乐山市的旅游经济发展将进入一个新的时代。本研究有助于全面认识成绵乐客运专线给乐山市旅游业带来的影响,为乐山市旅游业规划和管理提供参考。
Convenient Traffic is an important factor that affects tourists＇choices of their destinations. This is to set up a fitting function, on the basis of statistic data, that forecasts saved time, increased passengers and tourist income after the completion of Chengdu - Mianyang - Leshan（CML） passenger rail line. The results show that it is saving 1.5 hours from Mianyang to Leshan, value of transportation time saved up to as many as dozens of bil- lions yuan after it is put into use, the number of tourist will increase to 131,975,000 . the revenue 142. 134 bil- lion yuan, which is of nearlyl0 times of now, and tourism and economic development will enter a new era for Les- han City. This study will help readers have an overall understanding of effects of therai line on tourism of Leshan City, provide a reference for the planning and management of the tourism industry for this City.
出处
《绵阳师范学院学报》
2012年第8期93-99,共7页
Journal of Mianyang Teachers＇ College
基金
绵阳师范学院博士启动基金(MQD2011AO6)
关键词
成绵乐客运专线
乐山市
旅游业
发展
Chengdu - Mianyang - Leshan passenger rail line
Leshan City
tourism
development
