期刊文献+

公众预期在美联储FRB/US模型中的显性刻画及其对我国货币政策的启示

Dominant Depict of Expectation of FED FRB/US Model and Enlightenments for Monetary Policy in China
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摘要 美联储FRB/US模型基于信息的不同假设,分别采用了与模型相一致的预期和附加前瞻性政策变量的VAR预期,对预期进行了显性的刻画,并借助现代计算技术的发展,对预期进行了明确的求解,进而基于预期形成的各种假设条件对货币政策效应进行模拟分析。 The FRB/US model adopted by the Federal Reserve depicts explicitly two types of expectations: model-consistent expectation and VAR expectation with foresighted policy variables. This paper introduces the model, presents the model solution and conducts simulation analysis of the effect of Chinese monetary policy on the basis of different assumptions which formed expectations by the aid of modern computing technique.
出处 《金融理论与实践》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第9期30-34,共5页 Financial Theory and Practice
基金 国家社科基金重大项目(11&ZD011) 国家社科基金项目(10BJL019) 安徽省自然科学基金项目(11040606M25)
关键词 公众预期 FRB/US模型 货币政策 expectation FRB/US model monetary Policy
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参考文献5

  • 1Brayton, Flint and Peter A. Tinsley.A Guide to FRB/US: A Macroeconomic Model of the United States [R]. Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-42, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C., 1996. 被引量:1
  • 2Ray C.Fair and John B.Taylor.Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models[J].Econometrica,Vol.51, 1983. 被引量:1
  • 3Gary Anderson.Solving Linear Rational Expec- tations :A Horse Race[R].Federal Reserve Board,Wash- ington,D.C., 2006. 被引量:1
  • 4Sims, C.Macroeconomics and Reality[J]. Econo- metrica, 48(1), January 1980, 1-48. 被引量:1
  • 5Brayton, F., E. Mauskopf, D. Reifschneider, and J.C Williams.The Role of Expectations in the FRB/ US Macroeconomic Model[R]. Federal Reserve Bulle- tin, 1997. 被引量:1

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