摘要
世界经济发展历史表明,每个国家或地区在经济发展的不同阶段都要面临着不同的"发展陷阱"。"中等收入陷阱"是中等收入国家向高收入水平迈进的主要障碍。中国于2009年进入中等收入国家行列,本文通过比较中国和拉美国家落入"中等收入陷阱"时的主要经济社会发展指标,结合中国经济发展潜力和世界权威机构对中国未来经济发展的预测与判断,得出中国落入"中等收入陷阱"可能性较小的结论。中国要想顺利跨越"中等收入陷阱",迈向高收入国家行列必须选择走包容性发展道路。
The world economy development history shows that in different stages of economic development, there are different ＂development traps＂. ＂Middle-income trap＂ is the main obstacle that the developing countries become developed countries. China become the middle-income countries in 2009, Except geographical size and population scale, there exist great differences of Major economic and social development indicator between the Chinese and Latin American countries. Considering the potential power of China＇s economic development, we can draw the conclusion that the possibility of China falling into the ＂middle income trap＂ are small. China must choose to follow inclusive development road so that realize two goals that dealing with the emergence of some non consensual phenomenon in the development process in the past 30 years, and achieving high income.
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期3-12,共10页
China Economic Studies
基金
国家社科基金项目(12BJL064)的阶段性成果
关键词
经济发展
中等收入陷阱
包容性发展
economic development, middle-income trap, inclusive development
