摘要
运用两步系统GMM方法,基于中国省际动态面板数据分析了人口红利对经济增长的影响,结果显示,人口转变带来的较轻人口负担,在中国现在的政策体制下,得到了充分利用,可以说人口红利是推动中国经济增长的主要因素之一;老年抚养比的加大在1990—2007年间甚至促进了经济增长,也就是说带来了第二人口红利。
We analyzed the influence of the demographic dividend to economic growth with the system GMM with China＇s provincial panel data. We found that less population burden caused by population translation, was fully used in the existing policy system. So we can say that demographic dividend is one of important dynamics to China economic growth. The increasing Elderly dependency ratio even contributed to economic growth from 1990 to 2007, in other words, brought the second type of demographic dividend.
出处
《南开经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第2期120-130,共11页
Nankai Economic Studies
