摘要
选择世博会对上海旅游业的影响力作为研究对象进行定量研究,采用本底趋势线模型得到不举办世博会的情况下上海旅游业发展水平曲线,将其与举办世博会情况下的旅游业发展曲线进行比较,由此定量评估2010世博会对上海旅游业发展的影响力。
Quantitative assessment on influence of Expo on Shanghai tourism industry was studied in this paper. The background trend line model was used to predict the tourism industry develo- ping situation in such a case that Expo was not held in Shanghai. The prediction curve was com- pared with the curve got under the situation of holding Shanghai Expo so as to quantitatively e- valuate the influence on the development of Shanghai tourism industry.
出处
《湖北工业大学学报》
2012年第3期39-40,共2页
Journal of Hubei University of Technology
关键词
本底趋势线
定量评估
综合影响力
熵值法
background trend line model
quantitative assessment
comprehensive influence
entropy method