摘要
改革开放以来,福建省GDP、能源消费量和碳排放量均呈增长趋势。基于协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,考察了福建省1978—2009年能源消费、经济增长和碳排放量之间的关系。结果表明,福建省能源消费、经济增长与碳排放量三者之间存在长期均衡的协整关系;短期内存在着从经济增长到二氧化碳排放以及从能源消费到二氧化碳排放的格兰杰因果关系;长期内存在从经济增长和能源消费到二氧化碳排放的格兰杰因果关系。
Since the reform and opening up,Fujian＇s GDP,energy consumption and carbon emissions showes an increasing trend.Based on cointegration analysis and Granger causality test,the article examines the relationship between energy consumption,economic growth and carbon emissions from1978 to 2009 inFujian Province.It finds that there is a stable equilibrium relationships between these variables.In the short term there exits a Granger causality from economic growth to carbon dioxide emissions and from energy consumption to carbon dioxide emissions.And in the long term there is a Granger causality from economic growth and energy consumption to carbon dioxide emissions.
出处
《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2012年第3期51-58,共8页
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
基金
福建省社会科学规划项目(2010B054)
泉州市社会科学规划项目(2010A-ZC01)
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
碳排放
energy consumption
economic crowth
carbon emission
