摘要
基于对陕西省咸阳市渭城区、杨陵镇、武功县510份农户的调查数据,采用Logistic模型,对农户订单农业参与意愿的影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明:养殖规模、技术支持与农户订单农业参与意愿存在显著的正相关关系;户主年龄、文化程度、家庭劳动力人数、养殖时间、收购商违约、较重的病害与农户订单农业参与意愿呈负相关关系。提出了促进订单农业发展的政策建议:大力推进农户规模化经营,进一步加大订单农业政策扶持力度,提高订单农业参与率;创新产业化连接方式,规范订单农业合同,优化交易环境;加强科技服务,提高对农户的技术指导;大力发展农业保险,降低或规避订单农业风险。
Based on survey data from 510 rural households in Weicheng district of Xianyang city, Yangling town, Wugong county of Shaanxi Province, this paper uses Logistic model to positively analyze affecting factors of contract agriculture participated by rural households. The result shows that breeding scales and technical supports have significant positive effects , while age of head of households, educa- tional background, the number of labor forces, breeding time, breach of the buyers and serious diseases have negative effects on contract agriculture by rural households. Therefore, this paper presents some policy recommendations on how to promote the development of contract agriculture： vigorously push forward mass production of rural households, strengthen the policy support for contract agriculture and improve agricultural participation rate; innovate industrialization connection mode, regulate the format of agricultural contract and optimize trading environment; strengthen technological service and improve the technical guidance to farmers; develop agricultural insurance and decrease or avoid risk of contract agriculture.
出处
《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2012年第4期7-10,共4页
Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
关键词
订单农业
农户行为
LOGISTIC模型
农业产业化
农业政策
contract farming
household behavior
Logistic model
industrialization of agriculture
agricultural policy
